Oscars 2022 Predictions: Who Will Win Finest Image, Actor and Actress?


Belfast

CODA

Don’t Look Up

Drive My Automotive

Dune

King Richard

Licorice Pizza

Nightmare Alley

The Energy of the Canine

West Aspect Story

In a novel twist, this race has turn out to be a face-off between the most effective image candidate with probably the most Oscar nominations (“The Energy of the Canine,” with 12) and the one tied for the least (“CODA,” with simply three). Nonetheless, “CODA” has lately surged after key wins with the actors, writers and producers guilds, the form of bounty that nearly at all times factors the best way to finest image victory. Although it’s awfully uncommon for a movie to win Hollywood’s prime prize with out nominations for enhancing and directing — in actual fact, it hasn’t occurred since 1932’s “Grand Lodge” — “CODA” can bypass these statistical precedents with an attraction that goes straight to the guts. In a 12 months after I assume voters are determined to crown a crowd-pleaser, “CODA” is the clear favourite.

Nonetheless, “The Energy of the Canine” shouldn’t be counted out: Netflix has spent closely to attempt to earn the streamer’s first finest image win, and the movie’s 12 nominations point out broad energy throughout a number of completely different branches of the academy. The difficult half is that the Oscars use a preferential poll, which asks voters to rank the 10 nominees and tends to supply a winner that persistently exhibits up within the No. 1 and No. 2 slots. That favors a likable consensus selection like “CODA” as a substitute of the extra polarizing “Energy of the Canine,” which should web an entire lot of No. 1 votes to offset the ballots solid by voters who discovered Campion’s movie a bit of too austere.

Kenneth Branagh, “Belfast

Ryusuke Hamaguchi, “Drive My Automotive

Paul Thomas Anderson, “Licorice Pizza

Jane Campion, “The Energy of the Canine

Steven Spielberg, “West Aspect Story

Campion is the primary girl to be nominated for finest director twice, and her win might make much more Oscar historical past, since it will comply with Chloé Zhao’s “Nomadland” victory and mark the primary time this Oscar has gone to girls two years in a row. It’s true that Campion stepped into an issue of her personal making on the Critics Selection Awards, the place she in contrast herself to Venus and Serena Williams however stated the tennis superstars had by no means needed to compete towards males like Campion had. That diminishment of the sisters’ accomplishments brought on an web furor, however the older-skewing academy not often pays consideration to social-media conflagrations, and Campion stays the prohibitive favourite.

Javier Bardem, “Being the Ricardos”

Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Energy of the Canine”

Andrew Garfield, “Tick, Tick … Growth!”

✓ Will Smith, “King Richard

Denzel Washington, “The Tragedy of Macbeth”

The perfect actor Oscar not often goes to younger males, and bankable film stars like Leonardo DiCaprio and Matthew McConaughey have been solely in a position to win it as soon as they have been on the opposite facet of 40 and had paid an acceptable quantity of dues. That’s why Smith is so completely located: His two different nominations, for “Ali” and “The Pursuit of Happyness,” got here when he was a famous person in his 30s, and now that he’s a evenly grizzled 53-year-old who has proved himself over 4 many years, the timing is true for his first Academy Award win. All the higher that in taking part in the daddy of the tennis phenoms Venus and Serena Williams in “King Richard,” Smith has discovered a character-actor position that he can animate with each ounce of his movie-star charisma.

Jessica Chastain, “The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Olivia Colman, “The Misplaced Daughter”

Penélope Cruz, “Parallel Moms”

Nicole Kidman, “Being the Ricardos”

Kristen Stewart, “Spencer”

Final 12 months’s finest actress winner, Frances McDormand, had a leg up on her competitors by hailing from the most effective image winner, “Nomadland.” This 12 months, not one of the finest actress nominees come from motion pictures in the most effective image race in any respect, which provides you a way of simply how wide-open this subject is. Chastain received the Display Actors Guild Award for her position because the disgraced evangelist Tammy Faye Bakker, however this might actually go to any of the 5 nominees: Chastain, Stewart and Kidman all gave the type of transformative biopic performances that Oscar voters love, whereas Colman and Cruz are important favorites from a lot better-reviewed movies. I’m going to play it secure by choosing Chastain, however be happy to stay dangerously in your personal Oscar pool.

Ciaran Hinds, “Belfast”

Troy Kotsur, “CODA

Jesse Plemons, “The Energy of the Canine”

J.Okay. Simmons, “Being the Ricardos”

Kodi Smit-McPhee, “The Energy of the Canine”

Smit-McPhee was acknowledged by year-end critics’ teams for his efficiency as Kirsten Dunst’s artful son in “The Energy of the Canine,” however as soon as the televised awards exhibits started to weigh in, Kotsur cleaned up at SAG, the Indie Spirits and BAFTA. Along with his heat and humorous acceptance speeches at these ceremonies, Kotsur has turn out to be this season’s breakout performer, and the Oscars can absolutely depend on him for a successful second that’s each heartfelt and historic, since Kotsur can be the primary deaf man to earn an performing Oscar. He’s instrumental to the tear-jerking third act of “CODA,” and he has a private narrative each bit as compelling as what you see on the display screen. That is Kotsur’s to lose.

Jessie Buckley, “The Misplaced Daughter”

Ariana DeBose, “West Aspect Story

Judi Dench, “Belfast”

Kirsten Dunst, “The Energy of the Canine”

Aunjanue Ellis, “King Richard”

It’s Anita’s America, and we’re simply residing in it. The important thing supporting position in “West Aspect Story” has proved to be catnip for Oscar voters throughout many years: Rita Moreno received the Oscar for her Anita within the 1961 movie, and DeBose is well-positioned to repeat for enjoying the half in Steven Spielberg’s reimagining. Musical performances typically do fairly properly on this class, as earlier winners Anne Hathaway (“Les Misérables”) and Jennifer Hudson (“Dreamgirls”) can attest, but when there’s a darkish horse within the race, I’d look to Dunst: She’s labored with a variety of academy members who can recognize the hard-earned awards breakthrough she managed with “The Energy of the Canine.”

“Belfast”

Don’t Look Up

“King Richard”

“Licorice Pizza”

“The Worst Individual within the World”

This is among the evening’s hardest races. Lots of my fellow pundits are choosing Kenneth Branagh’s “Belfast,” but when it couldn’t win on this class on the BAFTAs regardless of being a box-office hit in Britain, I don’t count on a sudden reversal from the academy. Apart from, Oscar voters are likely to take the “unique” a part of this class very significantly, voting for movies that really feel sui generis. To my thoughts, that leaves “Licorice Pizza” (which received the BAFTA), “Don’t Look Up” (which received the WGA Award) and “The Worst Individual within the World,” which might earn votes right here in a race the place it doesn’t face “Drive My Automotive.” In the end, I believe that the environmental satire “Don’t Look Up” prevails due to its topical, pressing subject material.

“CODA”

Drive My Automotive

Dune

The Misplaced Daughter

The Energy of the Canine

The trail to finest image nearly at all times cuts via the screenplay classes, so this race might present a vital sneak preview of the evening’s final winner, particularly as a result of it accommodates one other face-off between “The Energy of the Canine” and “CODA.” The latter movie received on the Writers Guild, the place “The Energy of the Canine” wasn’t eligible for a nomination — however at BAFTA, the place each movies competed, “CODA” nonetheless pulled out a victory. If “CODA” (tailored from the French movie “La Famille Bélier”) can win over a snobby bunch of British voters, there’s no cause to assume it’s going to fall quick with the academy.

Encanto

“Flee”

“Luca”

“The Mitchells vs. the Machines”

“Raya and the Final Dragon”

“The Mitchells vs. the Machines” has received many of the awards doled out by the animation trade, and it shares an modern elan — in addition to the producers Phil Lord and Christopher Miller — with “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,” which beforehand triumphed on this class. Nonetheless, will probably be robust for any movie to beat “Encanto,” which has the 12 months’s most viral tune, “We Don’t Speak About Bruno,” in addition to a well-liked pitchman within the songwriter Lin-Manuel Miranda. The Mitchells could have triumphed of their battle towards the Machines, however “Encanto” boasts even heavier artillery.

“Ascension”

“Attica”

“Flee”

Summer time of Soul

“Writing With Hearth”

This race is crammed with worthy contenders, together with the animated refugee story “Flee,” which made Oscar historical past when it was nominated within the documentary, animated and worldwide classes. However “Flee” is up towards juggernaut front-runners in all of these races, and right here, that No. 1 choose has received to be “Summer time of Soul,” the Questlove-directed documentary concerning the 1969 Harlem Cultural Pageant. Oscar voters typically fall for music docs — previous winners embrace “Trying to find Sugar Man” and “20 Toes From Stardom” — and the beforehand misplaced live performance footage of artists like Nina Simone, Stevie Marvel and Mahalia Jackson is catch-your-breath, stomp-your-feet great.

“Lunana: A Yak within the Classroom,” Bhutan

“Flee,” Denmark

“The Hand of God,” Italy

Drive My Automotive,” Japan

“The Worst Individual within the World,” Norway

This needs to be a no brainer, since voters gravitate to movies on this class which have additionally made the most effective image and finest director lineups. (Assume “Amour,” “Roma” and “Parasite.”) Subsequently, the percentages favor “Drive My Automotive,” Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s insightful three-hour drama about grief and artwork, which swept the key critics’ teams and stored amassing momentum as awards season continued. Nonetheless, I’d hold a watchful eye on the great romantic dramedy “The Worst Individual within the World,” which got here out awfully late this season and has been successful a wholesome share of Hollywood admirers. If sufficient voters gravitate to that Norwegian movie as a result of they assume “Drive My Automotive” is taken care of, Hamaguchi’s breakthrough could run out of gasoline earlier than reaching its vacation spot.

“Dune”

“Nightmare Alley”

“The Energy of the Canine”

“The Tragedy of Macbeth”

“West Aspect Story”

“Dune” received at BAFTA and with the cinematographers guild, and it’s most likely the safer selection. However there have been a number of current profiles of the “Energy of the Canine” cinematographer Ari Wegner, who would turn out to be the primary girl to win this Oscar. In a squeaker, that’s who I’m choosing.

“Don’t Look Up”

“Dune”

“Encanto”

“Parallel Moms

“The Energy of the Canine”

Much more than the powerhouse visuals, the rumbling, uneasy rating of “Dune” makes the most effective case for watching the film in a theater.

“Be Alive” (“King Richard”)

“Dos Oruguitas” (“Encanto”)

“All the way down to Pleasure” (“Belfast”)

“No Time to Die” (“No Time to Die”)

“Someway You Do” (“4 Good Days”)

If “Encanto” had submitted “We Don’t Speak About Bruno” as a substitute of “Dos Oruguitas,” or if Beyoncé had accomplished any campaigning for her rousing “King Richard” tune, issues may be completely different. However since they didn’t, count on a victory for Billie Eilish and Finneas for “No Time to Die,” the third James Bond theme to win in a row.

“Belfast”

“Dune”

“No Time to Die”

“The Energy of the Canine”

“West Aspect Story”

The sounds of “Dune” are designed to hit you within the photo voltaic plexus, and so they bleed into the rating and the edit in all kinds of memorable methods. Plus, the story behind crafting these sounds is fascinating: Who knew it concerned Rice Krispies?

“Don’t Look Up”

“Dune”

“King Richard”

“The Energy of the Canine”

“Tick, Tick … Growth!”

“King Richard,” “Tick, Tick … Growth!” and “Don’t Look Up” have a variety of flash, however this Oscar often goes to the contender with an edge within the sound class, the place none of these three motion pictures are even nominated. That’s why I’m finally going with “Dune” as a substitute.

“Dune”

“Nightmare Alley”

“The Energy of the Canine”

“The Tragedy of Macbeth”

“West Aspect Story”

There’s a variety of maximal design on show on this class, nevertheless it hardly will get greater than dreaming up new planets and spacecraft, as “Dune” did with such nice affect.

Cruella

“Cyrano”

“Dune”

“Nightmare Alley”

“West Aspect Story”

“Cruella” is a movie about style, and it accommodates the class’s most putting garment, the garbage-truck costume that trails our antiheroine as she makes a public mockery of her rival. Rating one other earnest Oscar for the movie’s costume designer, Jenny Beavan, who beforehand received on this class for “Mad Max: Fury Street.”

“Coming 2 America”

“Cruella”

“Dune”

“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”

“Home of Gucci”

The final 4 winners on this class — “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside,” “Bombshell,” “Vice” and “Darkest Hour” — had the particular fringe of aiding within the bodily transformation of a nominated actor. This 12 months, “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” is the one contender with a nominated star, which must push it to the highest of the heap.

“Dune”

“Free Man”

“No Time to Die”

“Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings”

“Spider-Man: No Approach House”

Marvel movies like “Spider-Man: No Approach House” and “Shang-Chi” are soaked in visible results, however among the C.G.I. is ropy and unconvincing. The polished, beautiful “Dune” has no such downside and will cruise to victory.

“Affairs of the Artwork”

“Bestia”

“Boxballet”

Robin Robin

“The Windshield Wiper”

The cheerful stop-motion musical “Robin Robin” boasts the voice abilities of Richard E. Grant and Gillian Anderson, and stands out all of the extra reverse some very adult-themed competitors.

“The Gown”

“The Lengthy Goodbye”

“On My Thoughts”

“Please Maintain”

“Ala Kachuu — Take and Run”

This award typically goes to a brief with star energy, so that you’d be clever to select Riz Ahmed’s “The Lengthy Goodbye.” However two different entries pack a extra full punch: the dystopian satire “Please Maintain” and “The Gown,” a few girl with dwarfism contemplating a possible romance. Although I’ve been vacillating between the 2, I’ll predict “Please Maintain,” which provides extra social commentary.

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