Each of those groups gained a six-game sequence within the first spherical to advance, however did so in numerous methods.
For Dallas, they began the playoffs not understanding precisely after they would get the companies of prime participant Luka Doncic. He wound up lacking the primary few video games, however the Mavericks gained two of these video games and had been in an amazing place to take the sequence towards Utah. Luka has regarded nice since returning, making Dallas a consider these playoffs.
In the meantime, Phoenix completed the season with one of the best document within the league and was anticipated to breeze via its opening sequence towards New Orleans. That was not the case, as prime scorer Devin Booker missed time and the Suns dropped a few video games alongside the way in which. Booker is again now, so Phoenix is trying to get again on monitor to the NBA Finals towards a Mavericks staff they need to have plenty of confidence enjoying towards.
Phoenix has owned Dallas of late. Throughout the common season, the Suns had been 3-Zero SU towards the Mavs (2-1 ATS). The final time Dallas beat Phoenix was earlier than the pandemic. That’s 9 straight losses (Phoenix is 7-2 ATS)
Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns
Monday, Might 2, 2022
10:00 PM ET
Footprint Middle, Phoenix, Arizona
Unfold: Mavericks +5.5 (-110), Suns -5.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Mavericks +185, Suns -225
I’m not placing an excessive amount of inventory within the lengthy dropping streak the Mavs have towards the Suns. 2019 was a very long time in the past. So lengthy that the Mavericks have a unique coach now and Chris Paul was not even with the Suns.
However, I just like the Suns to strike first within the sequence. Dallas may be a greater matchup for them than New Orleans was, though the Mavs are the a lot better staff.
The important thing to the sequence for Phoenix might be not Paul or Booker however wing Mikal Bridges. He’s averaging 17ppg within the sequence whereas making greater than 50% of his pictures, together with greater than 50% from behind the arc. On this sequence they’re going to want much less of his offense and extra of his stellar protection. There’s a case for him being one of the best wing defender within the league and he’ll spend a whole lot of time on Doncic. Beating Dallas with regularity requires that you simply make Doncic work further laborious and cut back his effectivity.
I additionally just like the matchup of Phoenix middle DeAndre Ayton inside towards the Dallas massive males. Ayton has been averaging over 20ppg within the playoffs and was an underrated a part of their success a yr in the past. He’s by no means going to be probably the most versatile middle however his sport continues to develop. He can simply outproduce the Dallas bigs.
Dallas is among the higher defensive groups within the league and goes to need to suppress the Phoenix offense to remain within the sequence. Past Doncic, it’s laborious to see the place the Mavericks are going to have any constant benefits and that’s not going to be sufficient towards a centered Suns staff.
The sport plan goes to be to grit it out and hope that Luka can win video games late. He’ll would possibly get them a pair, however we do not anticipate Sport 1 to be one in all them.
Preserve a pointy eye on the quantity. It opened at -6 in a whole lot of locations and has come down from there. I might not anticipate a ton of motion from -5.5 however we’d get a -5.